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Knowledge Content Library

274
Survey of Value‐Focused Thinking: Applications, Research Developments, and Areas for Future Research
Presented by Dave Hughes, Greg Parnell, Roger Burk, Pat Driscoll, Paul Kucik, Ben Morales, Lawrence Nunn (US Military Academy) at 2011 DAAG Conference in Houston. Goal is to provide a comprehensive summary of the significant applications of Value Focused Thinking, describe the main research developments, and identify areas for future research.

275
The Art of Making the Right Thing Happen
Presented by Rob Kleinbaum (RAK) at 2011 DAAG Conference in Houston. If DA practitioners want to become more effective at changing their company, they must become more adept at creating a culture of profitability.

276
Oil & Gas Appraisal and VOI: How the Game Changes Things
Presented by Paul Papayoanou (sgg) at 2011 DAAG Conference in Houston. Discussion of value of information within a game theory context.

277
Discretization, Simulation, & Swanson’s (Inaccurate) Mean
Presented by Eric Bickel (University of Texas) at 2011 DAAG Conference in Houston. Discussion of errors that can occur from discretization of continuous distributions using common approximation methods.

278
I love decision analysis. I just wish it didn’t involve people. Examples, Lessons, and Anecdotes about DA Communication
Presented by Stuart Harris (Decision Frameworks) at 2011 DAAG Conference in Houston. Examples of communication that we see as reasonable as DA practitioners, but which often had to change to successfully get the buy-in those in need of a decision/solution.

279
Exploratory Decision Analysis of the Future of the Automobile in the USA
Presented by Max Henrion (Lumina Decision Systems) with Xirong Jiang and Surya Swamy at 2011 DAAG Conference in Houston. Example of modeling used to explore the future of the automobile in the US.

280
Order to Unorder - The Third Axis of DA (and how it applies to sustainable energy)
Presented by Pat Leach (Decision Strategies) at 2011 DAAG Conference in Houston. Discussion of Decision Analysis applied to complex ("unordered") systems.

256
Walking a Mile in the Shoes of the Decision Maker
Presented by Jay Andersen (Eli Lilly) at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Discusses importance of understanding the decision maker's perspective, including the Decision Maker's Bill of Rights.

257
Engaging and Retaining DA Practitioners
Presented by Andharia (Merck) at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Discusses recent history of implementing DA in Merck, what worked and what did not.

258
Transforming the Culture of Strategic Decision-making for a Biotech Organization
Presented by Phil Beccue (Baxter) at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Discusses practice of DA in Baxter, including training, tools and processes.

259
ConocoPhillips’ journey to full quantitative assessment of project cost and schedule
Presented by Paul McNutt (ConocoPhillips) at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Discusses practice of DA in ConocoPhillips and its impact on cost and schedule performance.

260
Project Derailed? Finding Timeline Drivers to Get Back on Track
Presented by Johnson (Decision Strategies) at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Example of modeling project duration and using sensitivity analyses to focus on key factors.

261
Strategy, Portfolio & Risk Management: A Value-driven ERM Perspective
Presented by Strategic Decisions Group at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Overview of the key factors and challenges in Enterprise Risk Management.

262
Insights from the Brain Sciences for Decision Professionals
Presented by Carl Spetzler (Strategic Decisions Group) at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Recent technological advances in brain imaging and insights into brain functioning provide new opportunities for uncovering the neurological underpinnings of mental functions including decision making.

263
Nassim Taleb’s Black Swan and Decision Analysis
Presented by Jack Kloeber (Kromite) at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Discussion of Black Swan phenomena and how to incorporate into Decision Analysis.

247
Using Decision Analysis to Select Communications Research Projects
Presented by Hal Wilson (National Security Agency) and Don Buckshaw (Innovative Decisions) at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Portfolio analysis example in DoD discussing how to mix hard skills (multi-objective models) with soft skills (negotiations and gaining customer buy-in).

248
Making Trade Space: Value Models and Enterprise Capability Analysis for the U.S. Intelligence Community
Presented by Freeman Marvin (Innovative Decisions) at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Application of decision analysis methods to improving US Intelligence Community enterprise capability analysis during the first five years of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI).

249
Improving the process of balancing benefits and risks in approving drugs
Presented by Lawrence D. Phillips (London School of Economics and Political Science) at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Discussion of benefit risk methods in drug development, and example applied to H1N1 flu vaccine.

250
Quantitative benefit-risk assessment: An analytical framework for a shared understanding of the effects of medicines
Presented by Patrick Ryan (GlaxoSmithKline) at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Discussion of benefit risk methods in GlaxoSmithKline.

251
Building Organizational Decision Quality
Presented by Carl Spetzler (Strategic Decisions Group) at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Discussion of building and measuring organizational decision quality (ODQ), including survey results of leading companies.

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