Knowledge Content Library
Using Decision Analysis and Behavioral Decision Making in Organizational Decisions
Presented by Rakesh Sarin (UCLA) at 2006 DAAG Conference in Baltimore. Discussion of how decision analysis and behavioral decision making are incorporated into the UCLA Anderson School programs.
Valuing Relevant Information When It May Be Ignored
Presented by Steven Greidinger at 2006 DAAG Conference in Baltimore. Discussion of biases that can impact value of information analyses.
Who uses Decision Analysis, and Why?
Presented by Bob Clemen (Duke University) with Kelly See and Guy McCumber at 2006 DAAG Conference in Baltimore. Survey results discussing psychological and organizational factors influencing decision process innovation, and the role of perceived threat to managerial power.
DA Education: How Do They Do That?
Presented at 2005 DAAG Conference in Philadelphia. Small example of Expected NPV versus risk tradeoffs.
Historic Studies on the Psychology of Decision Making
Presented by Jessica Hayden (Centacor) and Harry Eckerson (Decision Strategies) at 2005 DAAG Conference in Philadelphia. Discussion of many of the common biases that occur in decision making.
Partition Dependence and Subjective Probabilities: Problem and Solution
Presented by Bob Clemen (Duke University) with Craig Fox and Canan Ulu at 2005 DAAG Conference in Philadelphia. Discusses various cognitive biases and innovative ways to minimize their occurrence and impacts.
Organizing the Mess: Designing Decision Solutions That Matter
Presented by Steve Mack (Whitney, Bradley & Brown) at 2004 DAAG Conference in San Francisco. Discussion of organizationally complex decisions and the use of good framing and collaboration processes to work through the mess.
Of Space Shuttles, Legal Logic, and Decisions
Presented by Tom Spradlin (Confident Choices) at 2003 DAAG Conference in Houston. Keynote address at the conference discussing the importance of focusing on decisions and logic, including illustrations where DA can be key to cleaning up ubiquitous decision mistakes.
Lessons from Herodotus
Presented by Andrew Burton (Conoco) at 2002 DAAG Conference in Las Vegas. Insights into the art and science of decision making from Herodotus, c. 485 BC.
I'd Rather Be Lucky Than Good
Presented by Pat Leach (Decision Strategies) at 2002 DAAG Conference in Las Vegas. Simplified model example to show the role of luck in being promoted to management based on outcomes.
Mergers, Acquisitions and Licensing
Presented by Bill Haskett (Decision Strategies) at 2002 DAAG Conference in Las Vegas. Discussion of formulating negotiation strategies with approaches that balance value maximization with protection of downside risk.
Presented by James Felli (Defense Resources Management Institute) and Gordon Hazen (Northwestern University) at 2002 DAAG Conference in Las Vegas. Innovative way to combine tornado diagrams and distributions into "javelin" diagrams.
Marketing the Services of a Decision Analysis Group
Presented by Mary Peters (Strategic Decisions Group) at 2002 DAAG Conference in Las Vegas. Discussion of the marketing of internal DA groups in an organization, and the challenges and keys to successful adoption.
Decision Analysis and Value Engineering
Presented by (Decision Strategies) at 2001 DAAG Conference in Houston. Discussion of the overlap of a typical Decision Analysis (initial go/no-go) and Value Engineering (implementation) and how to achieve better synergy and value from both.
Integrating Decision Analysis into Other Business Processes
Presented by Bruce Collet (Petrous) at 2001 DAAG Conference in Houston. Discussion of strategy development and execution through integration of decision analysis with other business processes.
Update on the Value of DA
Presented by Bob Clemen (Duke University) at 2000 DAAG Conference in Calgary. An update on the value of DA based on survey responses and experience from Kodak.
Presented at 2000 DAAG Conference in Calgary. Notes from a conference session on facilitation.
Analysis of Where to Hold DAAG
Presented by John Palmer (General Motors) at 1998 DAAG Conference in San Francisco. An analysis of where and when the Decision Analysis Affinity Group (DAAG) meeting should be held after the April 1998 SF meeting.
Handbook of Decision Analysis
by Gregory S. Parnell, Terry A. Bresnick, Steven N. Tani, Eric R. Johnson (SDP Fellows)
Fills a gap in decision analysis literature, featuring both soft personal/interpersonal skills and the hard technical skills involving mathematics and modeling.
Value Focused Thinking
by Ralph Keeney (SDP Fellow)
A classic in the field of Decision Analysis, and for anyone seeking to make better decisions.