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Knowledge Content Library

The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It
by Douglas W. Hubbard
An essential guide to the calibrated risk analysis approach.
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Introduction to Decision Analysis: A Practitioner's Guide to Improving Decision Quality
by David C. Skinner
Excellent resource for managers, technical professionals, and decision analysts, regardless of experience level with decision analysis.
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Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
by Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, Amos Tversky
A collection of classic articles on this important subject.
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
With a new section: On Robustness and Fragility.
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Influence: The Psychology of Persuasion
by Robert. B. Cialdini
Influence, the classic book on persuasion, explains the psychology of why people say "yes"—and how to apply these understandings.
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Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness
by Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein
A revelatory new look at how we make decisions.
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Strategic Decision Making: Multiobjective Decision Analysis with Spreadsheets
by Craig W. Kirkwood
Uses spreadsheets and other analytical tools in considering important tradeoffs in multiobjective problems.
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How We Decide
by Jonah Lehrer
The first book to use the unexpected discoveries of neuroscience to help us make the best decisions.
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Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Taleb's first book, introducing "decision making under opacity", a protocol on how we should live in a world we don't understand.
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Mistakes Were Made (But Not by Me)
by Carol Tavris and Elliott Aronson
Why We Justify Foolish Beliefs, Bad Decisions, and Hurtful Acts.
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Switch: How to Change Things When Change Is Hard
by Chip Heath and Dan Heath
A game plan available to everyone on how to make the hard changes in life a little bit easier.
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Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Some readers will find Taleb's brashness off-putting; others will embrace it as a charismatic component of the ideas themselves.
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The Art of Strategy: A Game Theorist's Guide to Success in Business and Life
by Avinash Dixit and Barry Nalebuff
A highly accessible coverage of game theory.
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A Course in Microeconomic Theory
by David M. Kreps
Placing unusual emphasis on modern noncooperative game theory, it provides a unified treatment of modern microeconomic theory.
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Economic Evaluations and Investment Decision Methods
by John M. Stermole and Franklin J. Stermole
Introduction to the concepts of time value of money and the related decision criteria used to evaluate investments.
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Game Theory and Strategy
by Philip D. Straffin
Applications of game theory in a wide variety of disciplines.
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Games and Information: An Introduction to Game Theory
by Eric Rasmusen
Coverage of the basics of game theory and information economics.
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An Introduction to Bayesian Inference and Decision
by Robert Winkler
At a Decision Analysis Affinity Group conference, a panel of experts was asked, What is the best book on Bayesian probability? The answer from the panel was united, Bob Winkler's book.
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Making Decisions
by Dennis Lindley
Book shows that only maximization of expected utility leads to sensible decision-making.
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The (Mis)behavior of Markets: A Fractal View of Financial Turbulence
by Benoit Mandelbrot and Richard L. Hudson
Mandelbrot's first book for lay readers on finance, a subject he has studied since the 1960s.
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