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Knowledge Content Library

192
Games and Information: An Introduction to Game Theory
by Eric Rasmusen
Coverage of the basics of game theory and information economics.
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193
An Introduction to Bayesian Inference and Decision
by Robert Winkler
At a Decision Analysis Affinity Group conference, a panel of experts was asked, What is the best book on Bayesian probability? The answer from the panel was united, Bob Winkler's book.
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194
Making Decisions
by Dennis Lindley
Book shows that only maximization of expected utility leads to sensible decision-making.
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195
The (Mis)behavior of Markets: A Fractal View of Financial Turbulence
by Benoit Mandelbrot and Richard L. Hudson
Mandelbrot's first book for lay readers on finance, a subject he has studied since the 1960s.
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196
Probability Theory: The Logic of Science
by E.T. Jaynes
An unabashed, hard sell of the Bayesian approach to statistics.
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364
Theory of Games and Economic Behavior
By John Von Neumann and Oskar Morgenstern
This foundational work on Game Theory contains the method for finding mutually consistent solutions for two-person zero-sum games.

197
The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making
by Scott Plous
Comprehensive introduction to the field with a strong focus on the social aspects of decision making processes.
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198
Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks
by Norman Fenton and Martin Neil
Explains how to incorporate knowledge with data to develop and use causal models of risk that provide powerful insights and better decision making.
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200
The Undercover Economist
by Tim Harford
Harford gracefully explains abstruse ideas like pricing along the demand curve and game theory using real world examples without relying on graphs or jargon.
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300
The Evolution of Decision Analysis
By Ronald Howard
Article #1 in The Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis (the "Blue Books")

301
The Difficulty of Assessing Uncertainty
By Ed Capen
Article #32 in The Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis (the "Blue Books")

302
Probability Coding in Decision Analysis
By Carl Spetzler and Carl-Axel Stael von Holstein
Article #33 in The Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis (the "Blue Books")

303
Influence Diagrams
By Ronald Howard and James Matheson
Article #37 in The Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis (the "Blue Books")

304
Judgments Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
By Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman
Article #47 in The Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis (the "Blue Books")

305
Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk
By Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky
Article #48 in The Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis (the "Blue Books")

306
The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice
By Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman
Article #49 in The Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis (the "Blue Books")

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