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Knowledge Content Library

103
Incremental Value Assessment: A DA Based Approach
Presented by (Bell Canada) at 2001 DAAG Conference in Houston. Overview of Bell Canada's Incremental Value Analysis (IVA) Process to do rapid assessments.

71
Prospective Customer Application of Used Facilities
Presented by Sue Young (Conoco) at 1999 DAAG Conference in Orlando. A facilities divestiture by Conoco where the customer and Conoco agreed to cooperate using a DR&A process to ensure objectivity.

77
Parametric Modeling in Decision Analysis
Presented by Gerald Bush (Decision Strategies) at 1999 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Illustrates the use of parametric analysis of commodity pricing as an alternative to 10-50-90 assessments. The different perspective led to a different valuation and decision.

57
Assessing Ranges
Presented by John Palmer (General Motors) at 1998 DAAG Conference in San Francisco. Example of assessing ranges using P10, P50, P90, illustrating common biases and including suggestions for better elicitation processes.

65
Project Selection of an Aluminum Alloy
Presented by (General Motors) at 1998 DAAG Conference in San Francisco. Describes the decision process for choosing an aluminum alloy and the key role of tornado diagrams in the analysis.

158
Handbook of Decision Analysis
by Gregory S. Parnell, Terry A. Bresnick, Steven N. Tani, Eric R. Johnson (SDP Fellows)
Fills a gap in decision analysis literature, featuring both soft personal/interpersonal skills and the hard technical skills involving mathematics and modeling.
continue to: amazon.com

152
Decision Analysis for the Professional
by John Celona and Peter McNamee (SDP Fellows)
You can purchase on Amazon or download a free copy of this book in PDF format by clicking below.
continue to: smartorg.com

153
Why Can't You Just Give Me the Number?
by Patrick Leach (SDP Fellow)
Updated 2nd edition. An executive's guide to using probabilistic thinking to manage risk and to make better decisions.
continue to: amazon.com

154
Making Hard Decisions
by Robert T. Clemen (SDP Fellow) and Terence Reilly
Updated 3rd edition, with software and tutorials in Palisade's DecisionTools Suite.
continue to: cengagebrain.com

156
Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Life Decisions
by John Hammond, Ralph Keeney (SDP Fellow), Howard Raiffa
An easy-to-read and practical guide to making better life decisions.
continue to: amazon.com

341
Decision Quality: Value Creation from Better Business Decisions
by Carl Spetzler (SDP Fellow), Hannah Winter, and Jennifer Meyer (SDP Fellow)
Add value with every decision using a simple yet powerful framework
continue to: amazon.com

162
Making Good Decisions
by Reidar B. Bratvold and Steve Begg (SDP Fellows)
Best seller in the Society of Petroleum Engineers community.
continue to: store.spe.org

159
The Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis (the "Blue Books")
by Ronald A. Howard and James Matheson (SDP Fellows)
Classic reference, 2 volumes. The link below will take you to the Amazon link, and to a full description with links to some of the chapters.

164
Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis
by M. Granger Morgan and Max Henrion (SDP Fellow)
A guide to dealing with uncertainty in quantitative risk and policy analysis.
continue to: amazon.com

340
Foundations of Decision Analysis
by Ali Abbas, Ron Howard
A groundbreaking text that explores the art of decision making, both in life and in professional settings.
continue to: amazon.com

168
Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk
by Peter L. Bernstein
A comprehensive history of man's efforts to understand risk and probability.
continue to: amazon.com

169
The Signal and the Noise
by Nate Silver
Why so many predictions fail - but some don't.
continue to: amazon.com

170
Advances in Decision Analysis: From Foundations to Applications
by Ward Edwards, Ralph F. Miles, Jr. and Detlof von Winterfeldt
Covers the broad scope of decision analysis at an advanced level.
continue to: amazon.com

173
The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It
by Douglas W. Hubbard
An essential guide to the calibrated risk analysis approach.
continue to: amazon.com

174
Introduction to Decision Analysis: A Practitioner's Guide to Improving Decision Quality
by David C. Skinner
Excellent resource for managers, technical professionals, and decision analysts, regardless of experience level with decision analysis.
continue to: amazon.com

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