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Knowledge Content Library

177
Decision Analysis for Petroleum Exploration
by Paul Newendorp, John Schuyler, Timothy Nieman
A guide to risk and economic decision analysis applied to exploration.
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343
Decision Analysis for Managers
by David Charlesworth
This book gives you the tools to... * clarify and reach alignment on goals and objectives and understand trade-offs, * develop and examine alternatives, * systematically analyze the effects of risk and uncertainty, and * maximize the chances of achieving your goals and objectives.*
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187
A Course in Microeconomic Theory
by David M. Kreps
Placing unusual emphasis on modern noncooperative game theory, it provides a unified treatment of modern microeconomic theory.
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193
An Introduction to Bayesian Inference and Decision
by Robert Winkler
At a Decision Analysis Affinity Group conference, a panel of experts was asked, What is the best book on Bayesian probability? The answer from the panel was united, Bob Winkler's book.
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194
Making Decisions
by Dennis Lindley
Book shows that only maximization of expected utility leads to sensible decision-making.
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196
Probability Theory: The Logic of Science
by E.T. Jaynes
An unabashed, hard sell of the Bayesian approach to statistics.
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198
Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks
by Norman Fenton and Martin Neil
Explains how to incorporate knowledge with data to develop and use causal models of risk that provide powerful insights and better decision making.
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200
The Undercover Economist
by Tim Harford
Harford gracefully explains abstruse ideas like pricing along the demand curve and game theory using real world examples without relying on graphs or jargon.
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346
Project Economics and Decision Analysis: Probabilistic Models
by M.A. Mian
Presents the concepts of decision analysis, incorporating risk and uncertainty as applied to capital investments.
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300
The Evolution of Decision Analysis
By Ronald Howard
Article #1 in The Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis (the "Blue Books")

301
The Difficulty of Assessing Uncertainty
By Ed Capen
Article #32 in The Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis (the "Blue Books")

302
Probability Coding in Decision Analysis
By Carl Spetzler and Carl-Axel Stael von Holstein
Article #33 in The Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis (the "Blue Books")

532
Estimating Predictive Probability of Success
Shaun Comfort, Publications (Journal Article)

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