Vancouver Chapter Virtual Meeting
Presentation Title: Using experts to estimate consequences: Best practice, shortcuts, and framing tricky questions
Featured Speaker: Victoria Hemming - Compass Resource Management
Online via: Microsoft Teams (Meeting link will be sent after registration)
Time: 4:00 pm Local Time
Why this topic matters?
Structured decision-making depends on understanding how alternatives perform against objectives. When options are novel and data or models are lacking, use of expert judgment.
What you’ll learn
Victoria will outline three leading approaches to structured expert elicitation—the Sheffield Elicitation Framework, the Classical Model, and the IDEA protocol. She will highlight evidence that the IDEA protocol and the Classical Model improve judgment quality and accuracy. Victoria will also cover shortcuts (and their risks) and share practical strategies for framing challenging questions to diverse experts.
Meet the Speaker:
Victoria Hemming is an Associate Decision Analyst at Compass Resource Management and an Adjunct Professor at the University of British Columbia. Victoria undertook her PhD on expert elicitation techniques for ecological questions, and continues to take an active interest in the design and improvement of elicitation techniques. You can read more about her here and here.
For Additional background
- An overview of the three main methods for structured expert judgement—The Classical Model (Roger Cooke), SHELF (Tony O’Hagan), and the IDEA protocol (Mark Burgman), including their similarities, differences, supporting evidence, and open questions (See this paper).
- A deeper look at the IDEA protocol, its applications in areas such as COVID decision making and the scientific replicability crisis, and approaches for incorporating it into decision analysis, including uncertainty treatment (see this paper)