In Decision Quality (DQ), the strength of your decisions depends on the quality of the inputs behind them. Many organizations rely on subject matter experts (SMEs) to provide estimates, assumptions, and forecasts, but ensuring those inputs are clear, consistent, and reliable is often the biggest challenge.
This webinar focuses on how to move from expert judgment to decision-ready inputs. How do you effectively interview experts to extract meaningful estimates? How do you ensure those estimates are clearly defined, consistently structured, and properly recorded so they can be used across decisions?
Building high-quality inputs requires more than good conversations. It requires a system. A system for eliciting expert insight, structuring it in a usable way, and storing it so it can be reused, compared, and improved over time.
A critical part of making this system work is calibration. Even well-structured inputs can vary widely if experts interpret uncertainty differently or express confidence inconsistently. Calibration provides a way to strengthen expert judgment by helping individuals produce probability estimates that are aligned, measurable, and reliable. It ensures that estimates are not only captured well but created well from the start.
In this session, we will show how organizations can connect these elements into a practical workflow, from expert interviewing through to calibrated, decision-ready inputs. Participants will take part in an interactive experience using our online platform, including guided elicitation and calibration exercises that demonstrate how subjective judgment can become structured, consistent, and continuously improving.
You will see how teams can:
- Elicit high-quality inputs from experts through structured interviewing techniques
- Define and document estimates so they are clear, consistent, and reusable
- Apply calibration to improve the accuracy and reliability of expert judgment
- Track and improve forecasting performance over time
- Build shared standards across teams for thinking about uncertainty
What You Will Experience:
- Hands-on exercises in structuring and capturing expert estimates
- Interactive calibration quizzes to strengthen probabilistic judgment
- A collaborative uncertainty assessment grounded in real decision contexts
- A live demonstration of how expert inputs can be stored, tracked, and improved over time
Join us to see how organizations can transform expert insight into reliable, decision-ready inputs and build a sustainable capability for better forecasting and better decisions.