Knowledge Content Library
Turning Water into Wine: Decision Analysis Applied to Water Issues in the Heart of Napa
Timothy Nieman, Decision Applications Inc.
Application of rigorous decision analysis framing and modeling methods can be very useful to small municipal government decision making, yet these applications face unique challenges. We discuss an application to water management issues in Napa Valley using Monte Carlo based climate modeling as a foundation for management decisions, illustrating both the challenges and rewards of institutionalizing better decision methodologies at this level of government.
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Keywords: framing framestruc, evaluation anamod, societal decisions socdec, municipalities, water, influence diagram infldiag, Monte Carlo simulation mcsim, modeling modtree, climate change, stakeholders, government