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A "Cap & Trade" Approach to Assessing Technical Success Probabilities in Pharma

Presenter: Chris Dalton, Syncopation Software

Presented at the 2017 DAAG Conference in New Orleans, Louisiana.  In Session 5: Learning and Organization

Abstract:This talk will discuss probability assessment in the context of pharma/biotech R&D portfolio management, including the role of historical data and project-specific adjustments. An approach to tailoring probabilities while respecting aggregate benchmarks will be proposed and tried out in a group exercise.
Keywords: probability assessment probass, risk and uncertainty riskunc, benchmarks

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