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How sure are you? A discussion with Prof. Steven Goodman on the epistemology of clinical research and DA

Prof. Steven Goodman, Stanford University
June 19, 2019 (SDP Webinar Invited Talk, Best of DAAG 2019 )

Abstract: The conclusions of clinical research are commonly reported with a "p-valueā€¯ to help communicate the statistical significance of the results. However, the relationship between the p-value of a study which tests the efficacy of a new therapy and the likelihood that the therapy will provide benefit is frequently misunderstood. Concepts used in decision analysis, such as Bayesian analysis, may provide a more transparent interpretation of clinical research. A first step in helping drive adoption of such concepts is to understand the gulf between the DA community and the mindset of most clinical researchers and regulatory authorities.

Click on the file below to hear a sample of the presentation.  

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SDP membership is required for access to this webinar.

Keywords: analysis and modeling anamod, cognitive biases cogbias

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