Knowledge Content Library
214
Following a Lead: Analysis of in-licensing a follow-on oncology compound
Presented by Ajoy Chakrabarti (BristolMyersSquibb) at 2006 DAAG Conference in Baltimore. Discussion of a decision analysis applied to drug licensing problem.
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215
How to Convince a Large DoD Agency to Use Decision Analysis for Budgeting
Presented by David Caswell, William Hensley, Greg Parnell, Bill Klimack, Donald Buckshaw (Innovative Decisions) at 2006 DAAG Conference in Baltimore. Discussion of the use of multi-objective methods applied to complex defense budgeting problems.
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216
Metaphor Mapping
Presented by James Felli (Eli Lilly) at 2006 DAAG Conference in Baltimore. Discussion of the issues with analyzing and communication multi-dimensional data and results, and use of metaphors to simplify into manageable forms.
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217
Paired Value Comparison as a Consensus-building Tool for Multiparty, Multi-attribute Decisions
Presented by Dave Charlesworth (Chevron) at 2006 DAAG Conference in Baltimore. Application of multi-objective DA to an LNG problem in Angola, and illustration for using paired-value comparisons to achieve scoring and weighting of attributes.
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218
Portfolio Decision Quality Adds Value
Presented by Jeffrey Kiesler at 2006 DAAG Conference in Baltimore. Discussion of portfolio process in terms of Decision Quality, including impacts of project estimation errors on selected projects.
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219
Quantifying and Mitigating Splitting Biases in Value Trees
Presented by Sarah K. Jacobi and Benjamin F. Hobbs (Johns Hopkins University) at 2006 DAAG Conference in Baltimore. Discussion of biases due to how objectives hierarchies are set up and assessed in multi-objective problems and how splitting the trees impacts results.
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220
Risk Analysis and Major Project Miscommunications
Presented by Paul McNutt (ConocoPhillips) at 2006 DAAG Conference in Baltimore. Discussion of communication problems that exist in many organizations that impact project implementation and value, and how to reduce those problems.
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221
Should You Trust Your Gut? Psychological weaknesses in human beings when we try to make decisions in the face of uncertainty
Presented by Pat Leach (Decision Strategies) at 2006 DAAG Conference in Baltimore. Discussion of some common biases and how to use your intellect and gut to sort it out.
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223
Using Decision Analysis and Behavioral Decision Making in Organizational Decisions
Presented by Rakesh Sarin (UCLA) at 2006 DAAG Conference in Baltimore. Discussion of how decision analysis and behavioral decision making are incorporated into the UCLA Anderson School programs.
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224
Valuing Information Plans
Presented by Ellen Coopersmith (Decision Frameworks) at 2006 DAAG Conference in Baltimore. Value of information analysis applied to gas discovery problem.
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225
Valuing Relevant Information When It May Be Ignored
Presented by Steven Greidinger at 2006 DAAG Conference in Baltimore. Discussion of biases that can impact value of information analyses.
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226
Using Monte Carlo Simulations in Multi-Attribute Decision Analysis
Presented by George Huhn (Data Machines) at 2006 DAAG Conference in Baltimore. Application of Monte Carlo simulation to explore uncertainty in attribute weights and choice values.
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227
Who uses Decision Analysis, and Why?
Presented by Bob Clemen (Duke University) with Kelly See and Guy McCumber at 2006 DAAG Conference in Baltimore. Survey results discussing psychological and organizational factors influencing decision process innovation, and the role of perceived threat to managerial power.
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228
Winning an Exacta: Want a Step Change in Investment Returns?
Presented by Jim Weller (Chevron) and Jerry Lieberman (Decision Strategies) at 2006 DAAG Conference in Baltimore. Innovating a step change in investment returns is no accident - key leverage point is project scope or opportunity in “pre-frame” which should include high value optionality.
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151
2 Stage Stochastic Programming Approach for R&D Project Selection
Presented by Krishna Chepuri (Johnson & Johnson) at 2005 DAAG Conference in Philadelphia. Application of a 2-stage stochastic integer programming approach to a 2-year portfolio selection problem.
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201
A Multi-Objective Market Assessment Process
Presented by Steve Mack (Whitney, Bradley & Brown) at 2005 DAAG Conference in Philadelphia. Multi-objective application to a market assessment at BFGoodrich.
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202
DA Education: How Do They Do That?
Presented at 2005 DAAG Conference in Philadelphia. Small example of Expected NPV versus risk tradeoffs.
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203
Drug Delivery Devices - A Decision Analysis
Presented by Alfons Lieftucht and Lee Hodge (GlaxoSmithKline) at 2005 DAAG Conference in Philadelphia. Illustration of importance of getting metrics right in a drug delivery example.
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204
Factored stochastic tree modeling for medical decision making
Presented by Gordon Hazen (Northwestern University) at 2005 DAAG Conference in Philadelphia. Example using stochastic trees - decision trees with stochastic nodes - applied to a drug problem.
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205
Historic Studies on the Psychology of Decision Making
Presented by Jessica Hayden (Centacor) and Harry Eckerson (Decision Strategies) at 2005 DAAG Conference in Philadelphia. Discussion of many of the common biases that occur in decision making.
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