Knowledge Content Library
29
Game Theory Yields New Insights to Decision Analysis in the Energy Industry
Frank Koch, 2010 SDP Webinar (Invited Talk)
507
Eli Lilly PoS Estimation and Reference Class Forecasting – What BioPharma can Learn from Probabilistic Forecasts in Energy
By Jay Andersen, Charles Persinger, Reidar Bratvold, Probability of Success User Interest Group Meeting
484
How to Use the Value of Information to improve decision policy in Oil and Gas
By Trygve Botn, San Francisco Chapter Meeting
478
Production Forecasting: Optimistic and Overconfident – Over and Over Again
By Reidar Bratvold, San Francisco Chapter Meeting
402
A Scenario-Based Framework for Assessing the Risks of Nuclear Power Plant Accidents
By Dan Hudson, Scenario Analysis Interest Group Presentation
401
Scenario Planning at Shell, a Historic Perspective
By Henk Krijnen, Scenario Analysis Interest Group Presentation
432
Case Study: Organizational decision quality from the bottom up
Case Study by Andrew Thrift, Teck Resources Limited at 2019 DAAG Conference in Denver. This talk explores the experience of building the business case for ODQ from the practitioner level, in a sector without widespread use of decision analysis.
442
Case Study: They Hate Us and Can’t Be Trusted: Formulating Development Strategy in a Cloud of Suspicion
Case Study by Bill Haskett, Haskett Consulting at 2019 DAAG Conference in Denver. This talk explores a case of formulating a development strategy in a condition of conflict.
450
Case Study: Enhancing Decision Quality by blending Operations Research techniques with classical Decision Analysis
Case Study by Bobby (Gopesh) Rana, Bill Klimack, Chevron at 2019 DAAG Conference in Denver. This talk presents a case study on how to leverage OR and probabilistic DA to channel prescriptive decision analysis.
453
Energy Track: The battle for the future
Panel discussion with Max Henrion, Lumina Decision Systems; Charlie Atkins, Eratosthenes; Logan Grizzel, Blackhorn VC; Eric Bickel, University of Texas at 2019 DAAG Conference in Denver. In this Energy Mini-Conference, this talk covers the big fight over the nature of our energy use in the future.
454
Energy Track: Leveraging data to make great decisions
Panel discussion with Dan Violette, Lumina Decision Systems; Cory Welch, Lumidyne Consulting; Kurt Rinehart, EpiX Analytics; Mazen Skaf, SDG at 2019 DAAG Conference in Denver. In this Energy Mini-Conference, this talk covers solutions and lessons learned from applications of big data in electric utility distribution systems, distributed energy resources, and oil & gas industry models.
445
Energy Track: Causality and Decision Analysis in Energy and Environment
Fireside Chat with Warner North, NorthWorks at 2019 DAAG Conference in Denver. In this Energy Mini-Conference, this talk covers DA in Energy and Environment
406
Integrating First Nations perspectives in the impact assessment process
Presented by Julian Gonzalez (EcoPlan) at 2018 DAAG Conference in Vancouver. In this session on Involving Communities of Interest in the Decision Process, this talk covers the potential impacts of the Trans Mountain Pipeline Expansion Project from the perspective of the Matsqui First Nation.
375
Quest for World Class DA & DQ: Sustaining Positive Change
Presented by Len Falsone (Shell) at 2017 DAAG Conference in New Orleans. In this session on Coaching and Knowledge Transfer, this talk covers approaches used in Shell to making change happen and a compilation of useful coaching and knowledge transfer vehicles for positive change.
389
Making Better Appraisal & Development Decisions Using Decision Risk Analysis & Value of Information
Presented by Pete Naylor at 2017 DAAG Conference in New Orleans. In this session on Information Value, this talk provides an overview of value of information methods.
369
Selecting a Preferred Alternative To Meet Tier 3 Gasoline Requirements
Presented by Rob Lazenby (Chevron) at 2017 DAAG Conference in New Orleans. In this session on Risk Assessment and Management, this talk discusses the use of DA techniques to determine a refinery's strategy to meet gasoline specifications.
370
Oil Market Disruption Risks
Presented by Phil Beccue (White Deer Partners) at 2017 DAAG Conference in New Orleans. In this session on Risk Assessment and Management, this talk discusses a risk assessment of potential future oil disruptions and impacts to the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve.
329
What If We Are Wrong? Asymmetric Risk Assessment
Presented by Bill Haskett (Decision Strategies) at 2016 DAAG Conference in Banff. In this session on Unsolved Problems and Developing Ideas, this short talk looks at asymmetric risks applied to a drilling example.
continue to: decisionprofessionals.com
321
A Must Do Project Without the Required Capital
Presented by Jerry Lieberman (Endeavor Management) at 2016 DAAG Conference in Banff. In this session on Capital Decision Making Under Resource Constrained Circumstances, this Case Study illustrates several ideas with widespread applicability for developing an economically viable project in a severely resource constrained environment.
332
Turning the Supertanker - Structured Decision‐Making at BC Hydro
Presented by Basil Stumborg (BC Hydro) at 2016 DAAG Conference in Banff. In this session on Capital Decision Making Under Resource Constrained Circumstances, this presentation provides an overview of the use of Structured Decision Making in BC Hydro.