Knowledge Content Library
253
Decision Analysis for New Atherosclerosis Drug: Assessing Consistent Probabilities of Success for Drug Development Decision Analysis
Presented by Dave Swank (BristolMyersSquibb) at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Discussion of probability assessment and the use of sensitivity analysis to look for robustness in assessments.
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255
Convince or Persuade?
Presented by Ron Howard (Stanford) at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Discusses how a decision analyst's job is to provide people with an argument that will allow them to convince themselves
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147
Organizing the Mess: Designing Decision Solutions That Matter
Presented by Steve Mack (Whitney, Bradley & Brown) at 2004 DAAG Conference in San Francisco. Discussion of organizationally complex decisions and the use of good framing and collaboration processes to work through the mess.
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88
Facilitation Session
Presented at 2000 DAAG Conference in Calgary. Notes from a conference session on facilitation.
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92
An Emergency Facilitation: Decision Analysis as a Mediation Tool
Presented by Bill Haskett (Decision Strategies) at 2000 DAAG Conference in Calgary. Example of using DA facilitation as a mediation tool for an organization with procedural blocks to progress.
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74
Six Hats Application to Framing
Presented by (Conoco) at 1999 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Case study where Edward DeBono's Six Hats Theory was used to guide framing of a decision where agreement and clarity were lacking.
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158
Handbook of Decision Analysis
by Gregory S. Parnell, Terry A. Bresnick, Steven N. Tani, Eric R. Johnson (SDP Fellows)
Fills a gap in decision analysis literature, featuring both soft personal/interpersonal skills and the hard technical skills involving mathematics and modeling.
Fills a gap in decision analysis literature, featuring both soft personal/interpersonal skills and the hard technical skills involving mathematics and modeling.
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58
Value Focused Thinking
by Ralph Keeney (SDP Fellow)
A classic in the field of Decision Analysis, and for anyone seeking to make better decisions.
A classic in the field of Decision Analysis, and for anyone seeking to make better decisions.
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153
Why Can't You Just Give Me the Number?
by Patrick Leach (SDP Fellow)
Updated 2nd edition. An executive's guide to using probabilistic thinking to manage risk and to make better decisions.
Updated 2nd edition. An executive's guide to using probabilistic thinking to manage risk and to make better decisions.
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157
The Smart Organization: Creating Value through Strategic R&D
by David Matheson and Jim Matheson (SDP Fellows)
Deriving the most benefit from making quality decisions following the methodology of the Stanford school of DA.
Deriving the most benefit from making quality decisions following the methodology of the Stanford school of DA.
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159
The Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis (the "Blue Books")
by Ronald A. Howard and James Matheson (SDP Fellows)
Classic reference, 2 volumes. The link below will take you to the Amazon link, and to a full description with links to some of the chapters.
Classic reference, 2 volumes. The link below will take you to the Amazon link, and to a full description with links to some of the chapters.
166
Decision Traps: The Ten Barriers to Decision-Making and How to Overcome Them
by J. Edward Russo and Paul Schoemaker
Barriers to making good decisions and guidance on how to overcome them.
Barriers to making good decisions and guidance on how to overcome them.
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178
Influence: The Psychology of Persuasion
by Robert. B. Cialdini
Influence, the classic book on persuasion, explains the psychology of why people say "yes"—and how to apply these understandings.
Influence, the classic book on persuasion, explains the psychology of why people say "yes"—and how to apply these understandings.
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302
Probability Coding in Decision Analysis
By Carl Spetzler and Carl-Axel Stael von Holstein
Article #33 in The Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis (the "Blue Books")
Article #33 in The Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis (the "Blue Books")