Knowledge Content Library
519
Thinking about Process, Elicitation and Modelling in Decision Analysis
Simon French, 2023 SDP Webinar (Invited Talk)
493
Understanding, Predicting and Preventing bias
Matthew Welsh, 2021 SDP Webinar (Invited Talk)
492
The Impact of Overconfidence in Firm Performance: It's Not What You Think
Wayne Borchardt, 2021 SDP Webinar (Invited Talk)
474
Decision-Making and Gaining Buy-In in Polarized Times
Pat Leach, 2020 SDP Webinar (Invited Talk)
467
Fighting against cognitive, motivational and group biases in Decision Analysis
Gilberto Montibeller, 2020 SDP Webinar (Invited Talk)
466
Group Decision Making: How can we make it work better?
Etiënne Rouwette , 2020 Joint SDP/DAS Webinar (Invited Talk)
459
Biased experts, biased decision makers: How to optimize the quality of judgments in Decision Analysis?
Gilberto Montibeller, 2019 SDP/DAS Webinar (Invited Talk)
458
How sure are you? A discussion with Prof. Steven Goodman on the epistemology of clinical research and DA
Steven Goodman, 2019 SDP Webinar (Invited Talk, Best of DAAG 2019)
400
Creating Value from Uncertainty and Flexibility
Reidar Bratvold, 2018 SDP Webinar (Invited Talk)
360
Capacity Planning in the Biopharmaceutical Industry
Phil Beccue, White Deer Partners, 2017 SDP Webinar (Invited Talk)
313
On improving decision quality in medical sciences
Eyas Raddad and Charles Benson, 2015 SDP Webinar (Invited Talk)
129
The Psychology of Decision Making
Jay Russo, 2013 SDP Webinar (Invited Talk)
20
Probability Elicitation and Calibration in a Research & Development Portfolio: A 13-Year Case Study
Jay Andersen, 2011 SDP Webinar (Invited Talk)
507
Eli Lilly PoS Estimation and Reference Class Forecasting – What BioPharma can Learn from Probabilistic Forecasts in Energy
By Jay Andersen, Charles Persinger, Reidar Bratvold, Probability of Success User Interest Group Meeting
485
Why Does 21st Century Polling Fail? Why Do It?
By Steve Roemerman, San Francisco Chapter Meeting
478
Production Forecasting: Optimistic and Overconfident – Over and Over Again
By Reidar Bratvold, San Francisco Chapter Meeting
414
Conducting a Cost and Schedule Risk Analysis and Calibration
Group Discussion, Cost and Schedule Risk Analysis Interest Group
408
Evolution of emotions and Decision Analysis (DA)
Presented by Elayne Ko, Eyas Raddad, Somik Raha at 2018 DAAG Conference in Vancouver. In this session on Emotions and DA: Is There a Role for Emotions and Meaning in Decision Analysis?, this talk introduces some ideas and questions about how to incorporate emotions into DA.
372
Making Decisions in a Polarized World
Presented by Patrick Leach (Independent Consultant) at 2017 DAAG Conference in New Orleans. In this session on Learning and Organization, this talk discusses how people seek out and believe evidence that supports their beliefs, and possible approaches to mitigating this tendency.
367
Building and Nurturing the Company Culture You Want
Presented by Patrick Leach (Independent Consultant) at 2017 DAAG Conference in New Orleans. In this session on Culture, this talk discusses the relationship between previously held beliefs and new evidence.