Knowledge Content Library
345
Winning Decisions: Getting It Right the First Time
by J. Edward Russo and Paul Schoemaker
A comprehensive, one-of-a-kind guide to the proven methods of making critical business decisions confidently, quickly–and correctly.
A comprehensive, one-of-a-kind guide to the proven methods of making critical business decisions confidently, quickly–and correctly.
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167
The Flaw of Averages: Why We Underestimate Risk in the Face of Uncertainty
by Sam L. Savage
Describes common avoidable mistakes in assessing risk in the face of uncertainty.
Describes common avoidable mistakes in assessing risk in the face of uncertainty.
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168
Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk
by Peter L. Bernstein
A comprehensive history of man's efforts to understand risk and probability.
A comprehensive history of man's efforts to understand risk and probability.
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169
The Signal and the Noise
by Nate Silver
Why so many predictions fail - but some don't.
Why so many predictions fail - but some don't.
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170
Advances in Decision Analysis: From Foundations to Applications
by Ward Edwards, Ralph F. Miles, Jr. and Detlof von Winterfeldt
Covers the broad scope of decision analysis at an advanced level.
Covers the broad scope of decision analysis at an advanced level.
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365
Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs
by Ralph Keeney and Howard Raiffa
The classic text laying out the axiomatic foundations for multiattribute utility approaches.
The classic text laying out the axiomatic foundations for multiattribute utility approaches.
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171
Decisive: How to Make Better Choices in Life and Work
by Chip Heath and Dan Heath
Chip Heath takes off from where Daniel Kahneman left off in Thinking Fast and Slow and offers solutions to work with our biases and not let them misguide us.
Chip Heath takes off from where Daniel Kahneman left off in Thinking Fast and Slow and offers solutions to work with our biases and not let them misguide us.
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172
How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business
by Douglas W. Hubbard
This math best-seller argues that most individuals can be trained to assess calibrated probabilities and presents a procedure for evaluating quantities in a decision analytically consistent way.
This math best-seller argues that most individuals can be trained to assess calibrated probabilities and presents a procedure for evaluating quantities in a decision analytically consistent way.
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173
The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It
by Douglas W. Hubbard
An essential guide to the calibrated risk analysis approach.
An essential guide to the calibrated risk analysis approach.
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174
Introduction to Decision Analysis: A Practitioner's Guide to Improving Decision Quality
by David C. Skinner
Excellent resource for managers, technical professionals, and decision analysts, regardless of experience level with decision analysis.
Excellent resource for managers, technical professionals, and decision analysts, regardless of experience level with decision analysis.
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175
Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
by Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, Amos Tversky
A collection of classic articles on this important subject.
A collection of classic articles on this important subject.
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349
Choices, Values, and Frames
by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky
Choices, Values, and Frames presents an empirical and theoretical challenge to classical utility theory, offering prospect theory as an alternative framework.
Choices, Values, and Frames presents an empirical and theoretical challenge to classical utility theory, offering prospect theory as an alternative framework.
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176
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
With a new section: On Robustness and Fragility.
With a new section: On Robustness and Fragility.
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177
Decision Analysis for Petroleum Exploration
by Paul Newendorp, John Schuyler, Timothy Nieman
A guide to risk and economic decision analysis applied to exploration.
A guide to risk and economic decision analysis applied to exploration.
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178
Influence: The Psychology of Persuasion
by Robert. B. Cialdini
Influence, the classic book on persuasion, explains the psychology of why people say "yes"—and how to apply these understandings.
Influence, the classic book on persuasion, explains the psychology of why people say "yes"—and how to apply these understandings.
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347
Winning at Litigation through Decision Analysis: Creating and Executing Winning Strategies in any Litigation or Dispute
by John Celona
This book is the first in-depth guide to applying the philosophy, theory, and methods of decision analysis to creating and executing winning legal strategies.
This book is the first in-depth guide to applying the philosophy, theory, and methods of decision analysis to creating and executing winning legal strategies.
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179
Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness
by Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein
A revelatory new look at how we make decisions.
A revelatory new look at how we make decisions.
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180
Strategic Decision Making: Multiobjective Decision Analysis with Spreadsheets
by Craig W. Kirkwood
Uses spreadsheets and other analytical tools in considering important tradeoffs in multiobjective problems.
Uses spreadsheets and other analytical tools in considering important tradeoffs in multiobjective problems.
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181
How We Decide
by Jonah Lehrer
The first book to use the unexpected discoveries of neuroscience to help us make the best decisions.
The first book to use the unexpected discoveries of neuroscience to help us make the best decisions.
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182
Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Taleb's first book, introducing "decision making under opacity", a protocol on how we should live in a world we don't understand.
Taleb's first book, introducing "decision making under opacity", a protocol on how we should live in a world we don't understand.
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